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Fooled by Randomness

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

81 people recommended it in 39 threads, 2007–2026.

7 commenters pushed back on it — worth reading the threads.

What people on Hacker News said

chrischattin
Taleb's Incerto series changed how I thought about investing, risk, and life in general.

on HN, 2020

DLA
Poetic, deep, useful, and entertaining. Fantastic. A pleasure to read and listen to in audio while driving/traveling.

on HN, 2018

tvladeck
The role of chance in everyday life! It plays a big role!

on HN, 2019

osullivj
Fooled by Randomness has lots of good analysis of survivorship bias, trend following and other mistaken pattern matching strategies that are hard wired into us, and blind us to the true nature of events.

on HN, 2017

gigantecmedia
Changed my life and my perspective on doing business, building company and understanding luck.

on HN, 2021

anonuser123456
I feel like you can derive a lot of his other work if you payed attention in undergraduate probability theory and took Fooled by Randomness to heart.

on HN, 2021

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